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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Don't Believe You'll Self-Deceive - Less Wrong
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Maybe we need to split this into two words. Belief for when it is not supported by fact, or even against the evidence. I mean I've never heard anybody say, "I believe in gravity". Maybe use the phrase "I accept" for supported ideas, as in "I accept quantum mechanics" or "I accept that god does not exist". "Accept" also seems to have less affect than "believe", which may make it easier to change your mind if the evidence changes.
"I accept that..." sounds like it could be useful in a lot of cases.
Consider the more swiftly apparent incoherence:
"I accept that people are nicer than they are."
Maybe this is the word we should've been using all along!
Currently wondering if synonyms for belief in different contexts should be a page on the wiki.
Other substitutes: "it's clear to me that" and "I recognize".