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blogospheroid comments on Complexity of Value ≠ Complexity of Outcome - Less Wrong
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You are entirely right that the 56% would split up into many subgroups, but I don't really see how this weakens my point: more philosophers support realist positions than anti-realist ones. For what its worth, the anti-realists are also fragmented in a similar way.
Disagreeing positions don't add up just because they share a feature. On the contrary, If people offer lots of different contradictory reasons for a conclusion (even if each individual has consistent beliefs) it is a sign that they are rationalizing their position.
If 2/3's of experts support proposition G , 1/3 because of reason A while rejecting B, and 1/3 because of reason B while rejecting A, and the remaining 1/3 reject A and B; then the majority Reject A, and the majority Reject B. G should not be treated as a reasonable majority view.
This should be clear if A is the koran and B is the bible.
If we're going to add up expert views, we need to add up what experts consider important about a question, not features of their conclusions.
You shouldn't add up two experts if they would consider each other's arguments irrational. That's ignoring their expertise.
Ignoring their expertise, but counting only popularity. Moderator, does that mean that Less Wrong's karma system might be modified to take into account why a comment was upvoted?
A valid principle James, but a bad example which might be contested by those more knowledgeable of the matter.
Islam considers itself the best of the revealed religions and jesus is revered as a prophet in Islam.
So, in this case, christians reject the koran, but the muslims do not completely reject the bible.
I'm not sure what might serve as a better example, though. The multiple possible explanations of the present recession may serve as a better example, incase you want to make this a top level post.
What you say is true while the Koran and the Bible are referents, but when A and B become "Mohammed is the last prophet, who brought the full truth of God's will" and "Jesus was a literal incarnation of God," (the central beliefs of the religions that hold the respective books sacred) then James' logic holds.