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RobinZ comments on Conversation Halters - Less Wrong
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Well, words are limited, I recommend Jaynes' example of the psychic he goes more into the math of it all.
As I do not have access to Jaynes' book, this response is rather less than useful. I assume that Jaynes' example relates to observing just the demonstration of psychic powers - what I am suggesting is that further observations, causally related to the demonstration and those features which may suggest or oppose fraud, can overwhelm this initial difference in interpretation.
I think you might want to reconsider the scope within which appealing to differing initial assumptions is valid.
(Pssst....actually, you do.)
That is convenient! Now I just need chapter and section numbers!
That's an incomplete preliminary version of the book; the published version has more material, particularly after Chapter 5.
Chapter 5 is what is being referenced, I believe.