RobinHanson comments on "Outside View!" as Conversation-Halter - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (93)
To clarify, I meant an excess of reliance on the view, not of exploration of the view.
Forbidding "reliance" on pain of loss of prestige isn't all that much better than forbidding "exploration" on pain of loss of prestige. People are allowed to talk about my arguments but of course not take them seriously? Whereas it's perfectly okay to rely on your "outside view" estimate? I don't think the quoted paragraph is one I can let stand no matter how you reframe it...
It could even be somewhat worse. Forbidden things seem to be higher status 'bad' than things that can be casually dismissed.
The "on pain of loss of prestige" was implicit, if it was there at all. All that was explicit was that Robin considered your evidence to be of lower quality than you thought. Insofar as there was an implicit threat to lower status, such a threat would be implicit in any assertion that your evidence is low-quality. You seem to be saying that it is logically rude for Robin to say that he has considered your evidence and to explain why he found it wanting.