rolf_nelson comments on Debunking komponisto on Amanda Knox (long) - Less Wrong

-5 Post author: rolf_nelson 02 February 2010 04:40AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (116)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: rolf_nelson 02 February 2010 06:42:06AM 9 points [-]

Sounds reasonable. I wonder if there should be more survey style posts then, but on topics that will have verifiable outcomes. For example, one could pick out a topic from one of the prediction markets and discuss that. This would have the advantage that, at the end of the day, if someone come to the wrong conclusion, they would eventually realize they came to the wrong conclusion and have an opportunity to learn something from the exercise.

Comment author: wedrifid 02 February 2010 06:45:30AM 1 point [-]

I totally agree (and made a similar suggestion in the recent games thread.)

Comment author: rolf_nelson 02 February 2010 12:32:04PM 6 points [-]

War in Iran by 2016 might be a possible candidate.

Comment author: wedrifid 02 February 2010 12:33:47PM 1 point [-]

Sounds like a good one. But I expect you to have a better estimate than I do on that topic so I'm not going to bet against you!