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rolf_nelson comments on Debunking komponisto on Amanda Knox (long) - Less Wrong
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I believe already have, primarily because it encouraged an influx of posters only interested in political advocacy of one kind of another. It significantly lowered the quality of conversation for some time.. I did, however, upvote Komponisto's earlier survey style post, which was an excellent exercise in rationality.
Sounds reasonable. I wonder if there should be more survey style posts then, but on topics that will have verifiable outcomes. For example, one could pick out a topic from one of the prediction markets and discuss that. This would have the advantage that, at the end of the day, if someone come to the wrong conclusion, they would eventually realize they came to the wrong conclusion and have an opportunity to learn something from the exercise.
I totally agree (and made a similar suggestion in the recent games thread.)
War in Iran by 2016 might be a possible candidate.
Sounds like a good one. But I expect you to have a better estimate than I do on that topic so I'm not going to bet against you!