wedrifid comments on Debunking komponisto on Amanda Knox (long) - Less Wrong
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It seems to me that komponisto's The Amanda Knox Test similarly made a case for "not guilty" without reference to the all of the arguments for "guilty", and had other substantial flaws. But it's at 29, compared to Rolf's -10.
As someone who has no interest in the case (I haven't made any comment related to the case, nor read any of the discussions), judging from just the posts, I think Rolf's main mistake is that he forgot that one needs to be much more careful when arguing against a majority belief.
That is not similar to stepping into a giant past discussion without referring to it. Kompo started a giant discussion. He would have been downvoted mercilessly had there been a preexisting bloated corpse of a thread on the topic.