This appears to be the common denominator regarding people who think that Rolf has brought up game-changing information in his (long) post.

I don't think that he did. In fact, I can infer, without having read the discussions, that the information in Rolf's posts are likely contained in the discussions. So the only thing I think he did was to put them in a top-level post without making a sufficiently convincing case for his position.