timtyler comments on You're Entitled to Arguments, But Not (That Particular) Proof - Less Wrong

57 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 February 2010 07:58AM

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Comment author: mtobis 06 April 2010 03:19:29AM 1 point [-]

The Milankovic forcing is small. Even in the unforced case we would probably miss the next trigger and have 50 Ka of peace and quiet. Now we're well past the threshhold. Find something else to worry about, please, like ocean acidification, coastal flooding, rapid regional climate shifts, and ecosystem disruption for instance.

Comment author: timtyler 21 April 2010 11:47:11PM *  0 points [-]

You are assuming that Milankovitch cycles are the cause of the problem?

That is debated - due to things like:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100,000-year_problem

...and the list here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Problems

See also some of the alternative hypotheses:

"Sun's fickle heart may leave us cold"

...and...

"A New Theory of Glacial Cycles"

Unreferenced claims that "we are well past the threshold" don't count as particularly useful evidence.

I recommend you back up such material if you want to continue this discussion.