Luke_A_Somers comments on You're Entitled to Arguments, But Not (That Particular) Proof - Less Wrong
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Yes, I've followed Real Climate, on and off, and with greater intensity after the Freakonomics fiasco (where RCers were right because of how sloppy the Freakons were), which directly preceded climategate. FWIW, I haven't been impressed with how they handle stuff outside their expertise, like the time-discounting issue.
As for the paper you mention, my primary concern is not that the tree data by itself overturns everything, but rather, that they consider it a valid method to clip out disconfirmatory data while still counting the remainder as confirmatory, which makes me wonder how competent the rest of the field is.
The responses on RC about the tree ring issue reek of "missing the point":
Not using the data at all would be appropriate (or maybe not, since you should include disconfirmatory data points). Including only the data points that agree with you would be very inappropriate, as they certainly can't count as additional proof once they're filtered for agreement with the theory.
There are several factors that can limit] tree growth. Sometimes, low temperature is the bottleneck. So, the tree ring data can in any case be considered a reliable indicator of a floor on the temperature. It isn't any colder than this point.
They try to pick trees that are more likely to find low temperature the bottleneck. Sometimes it isn't.
That doesn't mean that the whole series is useless, even if they happen to be using it wrong (and I don't know that they are).