Unknowns comments on Open Thread: February 2010 - Less Wrong
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If we survive by an anthropic situation (it's hard to see how that could preserve several persons together, but just in case), then you win the bet, since that would more like a second world than a continuation of this one.
If the AI is shut down before it has had a chance to operate, the bet wouldn't have been settled yet, so you wouldn't have to pay anything.
Anyway, I'm still going to win.