Unknowns comments on False Majorities - Less Wrong
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Comments (36)
If it's a widely studied matter (just not by me, yet) and truly ALL experts don't seem to be able to transmit their reasons for believing things to me, then I'm going to be very skeptical that there's anything in the field of study to learn at all, unless there's a good argument that I should expect the field to be so enigmatic. I think I'm better off believing nothing about the topic if it's so immune to communication.
It's only when experts agree, and when it seems like I can in principle follow their work and understand the primary evidence, e.g. any advanced science or engineering discipline, that I can trust experts even though they've failed to present an easily digestible course for me to follow.
In the situation under discussion, most experts agree on a conclusion, and disagree about the argument.
It is possible (but not necessary) that this means that nothing can be known about the subject. However, if this is the case, then much less is it the case that I personally can know the opposite, namely by agreeing with the minority.