Douglas_Knight comments on The Craigslist Revolution: a real-world application of torture vs. dust specks OR How I learned to stop worrying and create one billion dollars out of nothing - Less Wrong
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Comments (219)
This seems basically true:
This seems basically false:
Perhaps a "critical mass" to get them to look at it and figure out what "the users" want, not to actually do it. In the comments you are more forthright about the difference.
That's a good point. 50,000 people who click the charity-happy link don't mean nearly as much as a similar number of people making signals that actually cost something. ie. 50,000 people that craig would think actually care.
I don't know how Craig would judge the signers of a petition. I'm more concerned that there would be a counterbalancing population seriously opposed. or a large population mildly opposed, but this would be hard for him to assess.
Correct. "Surely" is too strong, I'd put the probability at 50/50 of it actually happening. Maybe lower. The expected value is still worth the effort, even if you assign a 10% probability of the whole thing happening.