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Alicorn comments on A problem with Timeless Decision Theory (TDT) - Less Wrong
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Um... I'm not sure there's much I can say to that beyond "Read Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems, or Causality".
Pearl's system is not ad-hoc. It is very not ad-hoc. It has a metric fuckload of math backing up the simple rules. But Pearl's system does not include logical uncertainty. I'm trying to put logical uncertainty into it, while obeying the rules. This is a work in progress.
I'd just like to register a general approval of specifying that one's imaginary units are metric.
FWIW