Kevin comments on Two probabilities - Less Wrong
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Why does the Bayesian say that the probability of there being life on Mars is 0.5?
"So roughly speaking, what are the chances the world is going to be destroyed? One in a million, one in a billion?"
"Well, the best we can say is about a 1 in 2 chance."
http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/thu-april-30-2009/large-hadron-collider (video, region blocked)