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JGWeissman comments on Two probabilities - Less Wrong
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Just how small is this epsilon? I might want to propose a bet.
If I had a number, I would've given the number instead of saying "epsilon" :) What's your proposed bet?
I might bet on B or C against A or D at odds of epsilon to 1, to be settled when we have thoroughly explored Mars, assuming that if there is life, we will find it. This of course depends on the actual value of epsilon.