lunchbox comments on Open Thread: February 2010, part 2 - Less Wrong
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There are a lot of opportunities in the day for something to happen that might prompt you to think "wow, that's one in a thousand", though. It wouldn't have been worth wasting a moment wondering if it was coincidence unless you had some reason to suspect an alternative hypothesis, like that it changed because the mouse moved.
bit that makes no sense deleted
Exactly.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy