army1987 comments on Babies and Bunnies: A Caution About Evo-Psych - Less Wrong

52 Post author: Alicorn 22 February 2010 01:53AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 23 October 2012 03:04:05PM *  0 points [-]

they're guessing based on my location ("the Internet" or the specific site), which amounts to careless, casual stereotyping and rankles horribly

My prior probability that someone is male is about 50%, knowing that they read Less Wrong amounts to about +10 dB of evidence that they are male (as of the last survey), so the posterior probability that someone is male given that they read Less Wrong is about 90%. How does Bayesian updating amount to careless, casual stereotyping?