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Jack comments on What is Bayesianism? - Less Wrong
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The towers did not collapse "in essentially free-fall speed". I don't know about WTC 7. Do you have evidence for this?
I'm perfectly willing to concede that parts of the government are both able and willing to do cover-ups, even in favor of monstrous acts. One can easily point to things like the Tuskegee syphilis experiment, which lasted for forty years, even after multiple whistle-blowing attempts.
I'm even fairly confident that parts of the government are whitewashing like crazy to cover their asses, and asses of allies. Several members of the 9/11 commission said that they could get no real cooperation in several areas, and were repeatedly stonewalled. But my highest probability theory is that this is to cover up incompetence, rather than either "they deliberately let it happen", or "they made it happen". Everything happening because hijackers crashed planes into the two towers and the pentagon is perfectly consistent with all three cases.