Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

CarlShulman comments on What is Bayesianism? - Less Wrong

81 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 26 February 2010 07:43AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (211)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: CarlShulman 28 February 2010 11:16:58PM 4 points [-]

Again, you make wacky claims without mentioning the devastating refutation.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hijackers_in_the_September_11_attacks#Cases_of_mistaken_identity

Visibly deceptive and non-truth-seeking antics like this are not going to work around here. I suggest that you and woozle read up on cognitive biases and bayesian epistemology before trying to argue for this here. One handy debiasing technique:

http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/write-your-hypothetical-apostasy.html

If you do this well, and post your writeup on your personal website or the like, you might be able to get folk to take you seriously, or you might realize that the epistemic procedures you're using (selective search for confirming examples and 'allied' sources, etc) aren't very truth-tracking.

In the meantime, this stuff doesn't belong in the comments section of this post.