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CarlShulman comments on What is Bayesianism? - Less Wrong

81 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 26 February 2010 07:43AM

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Comment author: CarlShulman 01 March 2010 12:18:20AM 5 points [-]

One handy debiasing technique: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/write-your-hypothetical-apostasy.html

You are suggesting I do this? Have you done it yourself, did it work?

Yes, I've used it with respect to several scientific and ideological issues where I had significant incentives or potential biases favoring one view or another. It helps to bring issues into sharp focus that were previously not salient. In psych experiments it's one of the only immediately effective debiasing techniques.

Comment author: Wei_Dai 01 March 2010 01:00:54AM *  1 point [-]

Have you posted your hypothetical apostasies somewhere? Posting some sample hypothetical apostasies and perhaps followup analyses about how writing them reduced the authors' biases would probably increase the motivation in others to try this seriously. (I commented to Nick's post that I tried his suggestion, but didn’t get very far.)

Comment author: CarlShulman 01 March 2010 01:41:36AM *  2 points [-]

That's somewhat complicated by the fact that I've used it most effectively with regards to things you can't say. But I am going to add this to my task queue, and either post one of my previous ones or do a new one. I've been considering ones on consequentialism and weirdness.