I will bet 500 karma that a funny picture thread will appear on Less Wrong within one year. If anyone is interested in the bet, we can better define terms.
Right now the LW software doesn't support karma transfers. Until it does and we can develop a more robust prediction market, let's just record the karma transfers on the wiki page that already exists for this purpose.
I will also give 100 karma to anyone that donates $10 to the SIAI before the current fundraising campaign is over.
10,000 karma for the first person with a karma transfer source code patch?
I don't think many people use karma to judge a member; rather, frequently reading their posts causes me to respect them, and this correlates with their karma.
Having said that, I am generalising from one case.
Incidentally, there's already quite a karma-market in discussing karma. You could easily generate most of your karma discussing karma.
Upvoted.