But the game of Doldun could also have the possibility of cooperative wins. Or it could be unwinnable. Or Strigli might not be playing. Or Strigli might be the only team playing - it's the team against the environment! Or Doldun could be called on account of a rain of frogs. Or Strigli's left running foobar could break a chitinous armor plate and be replaced by a member of team Baz, which means that Baz gets half credit for a Strigli win.
All of which means that you shouldn't be too confident in your probability distribution in such a foreign situation, but you still have to come up with a probability if it's relevant at all for action. Bad priors can hurt, but refusal to treat your uncertainty in a Bayes-like fashion hurts more (with high probability).
We've had these for a year, I'm sure we all know what to do by now.
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