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CronoDAS comments on Open Thread: March 2010 - Less Wrong
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I saw a commenter on a blog I read making what I thought was a ridiculous prediction, so I challenged him to make a bet. He accepted, and a bet has been made.
What do you all think?
Very good. I see this forcing more careful thought by the poster, either now or later, and more skepticism in the blog's audience.
I'd recommend restating all the terms of the bet in a single comment or another web page, which both of you explicitly accept. This will make things easier to reference eight months from now. Might also be good to name a simple procedure like a poll on the blog to resolve any disagreements (like the definition of "Healthcare reform passes").
And please, reply again here or make a new open thread comment once this gets resolved. I'd love to hear how it turned out and what the impact on poster's or other's beliefs was.
He's a right-wing commenter on a liberal blog; most of the other commenters don't seem to take him seriously either, but he hasn't done anything to become ban-worthy.
Good job.