= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Cyan comments on Open Thread: March 2010 - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (658)
Gur cbfgrq bqqf qba'g tvir n gbgny cebonovyvgl bs bar, fb gurl'er Qhgpu-obbxnoyr.
Abg dhvgr. Uvf ceboyrz vf gung gur bqqf nqq hc gb yrff guna bar. Vs V tnir lbh 1-2 bqqf ba urnqf naq 1-2 bqqf ba gnvyf sbe na haovnfrq pbva, gung nqqf hc gb 1.3, naq lbh pna'g Qhgpu obbx zr ba gung.
Rot13: Hayrff gur bqqfznxre vf rabhtu bs na vqvbg gb yrg lbh gnxr gur bgure fvqr bs gur orgf, of course.
Rot13: Vs lbh'er tvivat bqqf nf n cerqvpgvba lbh fubhyq or jvyyvat gb gnxr rvgure fvqr.
Yes. That does seem to be the correct context for a critique of the article. I was thinking more along the lines of "giving odds" in terms of "offering bets" in order to make money (ie, a bookie).
Rot13: Gehr - fnir gung xabjvat fbzrbar jnagf gb gnxr gur bgure fvqr znl vasyhrapr lbhe bqqf.
Rot13: Pna lbh sbezhyngr n org be frevrf bs orgf gung jbhyq qb gur gevpx? Pna nalbar?
I thought this was already clear? Org K$ * vzcyvrq cebonovyvgl ba rirel grnz. Lbh ner thnenagrrq n arg jva bs K$ * (1 - fhz bs nyy vzcyvrq cebonovyvgvrf).
What you really should do though is look at the past history of the tournament and the form of the teams, figure out which of those teams with silly odds have a decent shot at winning, take a risk and bet on some combination of them. You should stand a fairly decent chance of winning really big (unless this huge spread is actually justified, which seems unlikely).
Va gur bevtvany Qhgpu obbx, bqqf unir gb or bssrerq ba nyy pbzcbhaq riragf naq nyy pbaqvgvbany riragf. Vs gur nhgube vf jvyyvat gb hfr C(N be O) = C(N) + C(O) gb frg gur bqqf sbe qvfwhapgvbaf, gur cebcbfvgvba "ng yrnfg bar grnz jvaf" unf n cebonovyvgl bs friragl-avar creprag. Ur bhtug gb or jvyyvat gb org ntnvafg gung cebcbfvgvba ng bar trgf uvz sbhe.
Props for the ROT13 - independently I got as far as the first half, but I didn't know how to do the latter. Wikipedia explained it quite well, though.
I don't understand how that's possible. Doesn't the answer to the first half imply the latter? How do you get sebz bqqf gb vzcyvrq cebonovyvgl otherwise?
Rot13: V unqa'g dhvgr qenja gur pbaarpgvba orgjrra gur bqqf naq gur pbafgehpgvba bs gur Qhgpu obbx - vg jnfa'g boivbhf gb zr gung orggvat n pbafgnag gvzrf gur vzcyvrq cebonovyvgvrf jbhyq pbfg zr gung pbafgnag gvzrf gur vzcyvrq gbgny cebonovyvgl naq cnl bss gung pbafgnag.