GuySrinivasan comments on For progress to be by accumulation and not by random walk, read great books - Less Wrong
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An excerpt from the Amazon description of Plausible Reasoning: "This work might have been called "How to Become a Good Guesser"."
Polya's How to Solve It is a great little text he wrote for teachers and students of mathematics. Polya's Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning is even better. There's lots of great problem-solving techniques for non-mathematicians in there too. I recommend it to everyone, it's the best example I've ever seen of someone writing down their techniques.
Edit: cleared up the reference of the quote, it originally looked like I was quoting the article, sorry about that!
Question: I don't see the quote you reply to in the original post - where did it come from?
It came from the Amazon description, actually. I've edited the comment to make that clear.
Thank you - I might have also moved it to the end of the comment, just to make it clear that it related to the material in the comment, not material in the post. (You were the one who brought up "Plausible Reasoning", after all!)
I agree! There is a lot of good stuff on the kad network and emule is a great client.