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spriteless comments on Priors and Surprise - Less Wrong
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'How would I explain it if I wake up and my left arm is replaced with a tentacle?' and ' How would I explain it if Godzilla attacks?' are similar questions. Except Godzilla is more on your mind, because no one makes a movie about how my arm was replaced by a tentacle, but it's easy to come up with drama about a giant fire snorting lizard.