GuySrinivasan comments on What Does Make a Difference? It’s Really Simple - Less Wrong
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Comments (14)
A quote from the linked article:
(it was 1 in 10 million in New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Colorado)
If you want to make a post about overdetermination, I'd say don't use the voting example, since here's one person at the very least who thinks the example's far from clear-cut. The movies thing is fine - the probability enough people go to ruin everyone's experience times the experience ruined is still tiny, not plausibly large.