bogus comments on Undiscriminating Skepticism - Less Wrong

97 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 March 2010 11:23PM

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Comment author: bogus 24 March 2010 11:14:20PM *  0 points [-]

The existence of God has probably the lowest prior probability of any hypothesis ever seriously considered by humans. Any evidence in favor of theism has been swamped ...

Surely you mean 'likelihood' here, not prior probability. Prior probabilities are imputed based on one's uncertainty before any evidence is taken into account, and theism scores fairly high on this metric.

Comment author: Jack 24 March 2010 11:18:59PM *  0 points [-]

The selection should be read something like:

The existence of God has probably the lowest prior probability of any hypothesis ever seriously considered by humans.

(Due to complexity)

In addition, the hypothesis does not become more likely once we consider the evidence...

Any evidence in favor of theism has been swamped ...

Comment author: RobinZ 24 March 2010 11:32:18PM 0 points [-]

"Due", not "do".

Also, I think the confusion merely arises from arrangement and Gricean-maxim(-like?) considerations - I predict adding "Further" before "[a]ny evidence" would suffice to invoke the correct interpretation.

Comment author: Jack 24 March 2010 11:35:29PM *  1 point [-]

You're obviously right on both counts. Edited.

Comment author: RobinZ 24 March 2010 11:38:36PM 0 points [-]

Remember to flag the edit - I like the footnote method.