wnoise comments on Undiscriminating Skepticism - Less Wrong

97 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 March 2010 11:23PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (1329)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: wnoise 25 March 2010 06:00:01PM 0 points [-]

it's possible to be reasonable confident of a conclusion based on general knowledge, common sense, and despite scientific studies to the contrary.

This is true. It's also possible to be way too overconfident, based on these same things, and unacknowledged confounders. This is the problem that scientific studies try to address.

Comment author: brazil84 25 March 2010 06:22:15PM 2 points [-]

It's also possible to be way too overconfident, based on these same things, and unacknowledged confounders

Agree.

This is the problem that scientific studies try to address.

Well, that and other things as well.