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ciphergoth comments on Undiscriminating Skepticism - Less Wrong
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Doesn't that violate conservation of expected evidence? Or are you saying that this article was a cause for worry?
I'm having a bit of a hard time reconstructing my meaning from two years ago I'm afraid! Clearly it does violate conservation of expected evidence, so I can only think that it's offered as a way to combat overconfidence bias than actually meant as a way that a ideal reasoner would update on the evidence. Or I'm just trying too hard to sound clever...