ata comments on Omega's subcontracting to Alpha - Less Wrong
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I'll disregard my earlier comment and assume the latter interpretation for now.
So here are the things that can (and can't) happen:
So, starting with Alpha's coin flip, here are the only possible paths:
Unlike in Newcomb's problem, in this case Omega's prediction is irrelevant to what Alpha actually did. The envelope either contains £1 000 000 or nothing, and you're going to receive it as-is, no matter what Omega says about your future actions. If the envelope has £1 000 000 in it, and you're the sort of person who would accept the £10, then Omega will not offer you this conundrum, because it couldn't honestly state the prediction as given — it would just leave you alone with your new riches. Same if the envelope is empty and you are the sort of person who would reject the £10. Your strategy affects nothing other than whether Omega will show up in the first place.
Conclusion: be the sort of person who would accept the £10. It won't affect whether you'll receive the envelope or what you find in it, and if it is empty, at least you'll get that £10 as a consolation prize.
(And now I'll read the rest of the thread to see if smarter people agree with me.)