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christopherj comments on Information theory and the symmetry of updating beliefs - Less Wrong
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This article gives me a better perspective as to why scientific journals like to publish surprising results rather than unsurprising ones -- they are more informative, for the very reason they are likelier to be wrong.
Yes... if a theory adds to the surprisal of an experimental result, then the experimental result adds precisely the same amount of the surprisal of the theory. That's interesting.