gwern comments on The Apologist and the Revolutionary - Less Wrong
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Fulltext for the cold water experiment: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/5317066/2005-bottini.pdf
The method, for would-be experimenters:
EDIT: After reading the paper, I resolved to try it myself; my results: http://lesswrong.com/lw/20/the_apologist_and_the_revolutionary/5xgn