wnoise comments on It's not like anything to be a bat - Less Wrong
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That's entirely contrary to the Bayesian program that this site broadly endorses: throwing out the subjective probability baby with the anthropic bath water, as it were.
What, really? Wait, what!? Uh.
Also, dear reader, vote parent up or down to tell me whether he's correct about you.
No, probability is not "meaningless for singular events". We can meaningfully discuss, in Bayesian terms, the probability of drawing a red ball from a jar, even if that jar will be destroyed after the single draw. The probabilities are assessments about our state of knowledge.
Therefore no, we cannot dismiss all anthropic reasoning for the reasons you suggested.
If you got "probability is meaningless for singular events" from what you learned here, either you are confused, or I am. (Possibly both.)
No, because it isn't isn't meaningless.
No, you can get it from mathematics. Even basic arithmetic. Infinite series of events, on the other hand, those are hard to come by.
I dismiss many examples of (bad) anthropic reasoning because they assume that that the probability of their subjective experience is what you get if you draw a random head out of a jar of all things that meet some criteria of self awareness.
Kind of. Read Probability is subjectively objective
The frequentist dogma was the 'contrary' part, not the 'maps/territory' stuff. Probability doesn't come from statistics and definitely applies to single events.
Statistics is, of course, one source of knowledge we can usefully apply in calculating probabilities.