Morendil comments on It's not like anything to be a bat - Less Wrong

15 Post author: Yvain 27 March 2010 02:32PM

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Tags: anthropic consciousness

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Comment author: CannibalSmith 31 March 2010 01:33:00PM *  0 points [-]

What, really? Wait, what!? Uh.

  1. Could you please answer my question directly in the form of "yes/no, because"?
  2. Do you mean by subjective probability the fact(?) that probability is about the map and not the territory?
  3. If yes, what does it have to do with anthropics?
  4. If yes, what! Contrary?? I learned about it here!
  5. If no, I'm completely confused.

Also, dear reader, vote parent up or down to tell me whether he's correct about you.

Comment author: Morendil 31 March 2010 01:46:12PM 3 points [-]

No, probability is not "meaningless for singular events". We can meaningfully discuss, in Bayesian terms, the probability of drawing a red ball from a jar, even if that jar will be destroyed after the single draw. The probabilities are assessments about our state of knowledge.

Therefore no, we cannot dismiss all anthropic reasoning for the reasons you suggested.

If you got "probability is meaningless for singular events" from what you learned here, either you are confused, or I am. (Possibly both.)

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