Wei_Dai comments on The I-Less Eye - Less Wrong

30 Post author: rwallace 28 March 2010 06:13PM

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Comment author: Cyan 28 March 2010 07:08:36PM *  13 points [-]

After step one, you have a 50% chance of finding yourself the original; there is nothing controversial about this much.

That's not the way my subjective anticipation works, so the assertion of uncontroversialness is premature. I anticipate that after step one I have a 100% chance of being the copy, and a 100% chance of being the original. (Which is to say, both of those individuals will remember my anticipation.)

Comment author: Wei_Dai 30 March 2010 05:55:21AM 1 point [-]

Cyan, I gave another argument against subjective anticipation, which does cover the way your subjective anticipation works. Please take a look. (I'm replying to you here in case you miss it.)

Comment author: Cyan 30 March 2010 05:27:38PM *  1 point [-]

Thanks for the link. When you write that it's an argument against subjective anticipation, I'm not sure what you are specifically arguing against. If you're just saying that my kind of subjective anticipation will lead to time-inconsistent decisions (and hence is irrational), I agree.