wedrifid comments on The I-Less Eye - Less Wrong
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Comments (83)
Morendil's comment made me realize that my example is directly analogous to your Counterfactual Mugging: in that thought experiment, Omega's coin flip splits you into two copies (in two different possible worlds), and like in my example, the rational thing to do, in human terms, is to sacrifice your own interests to help your copy. To me, this analogy indicates that it's not mind-copying that's causing the apparent value changes, but rather Bayesian updating.
I tend to agree with you, but I note that Eliezer disagrees.
Is that an area in which a TDT would describe the appropriate response using different words to a UDT, even if they suggest the same action? I'm still trying to clarify the difference between UDT, TDT and my own understanding of DT. I would not describe the-updating-that-causes-the-value-changes as 'bayesian updating', rather 'naive updating'. (But this is a terminology preference.)
My understanding is that TDT would not press the button, just like it wouldn't give $100 to the counterfactual mugger.
Thanks. So they actually do lead to different decisions? That is good to know... but puts me one step further away from confidence!