PhilGoetz comments on Even if you have a nail, not all hammers are the same - Less Wrong

95 Post author: PhilGoetz 29 March 2010 06:09PM

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Comment author: SilasBarta 30 March 2010 06:43:45PM *  8 points [-]

This is an interesting point in itself. Why health and medicine?

Maybe causal inference is straight up more difficult in health and medicine: effects are smaller and more ambiguous than in hard sciences, and have many hard-to-manipulate causes that blur the signal.

My self-serving explanation is that health/ medicine/ biology select for people who enjoy (or better tolerate) rote memorization (Levels 0-1 in my hierarchy) rather than "how it works"-type understanding (Levels 2-3). This gets the group of intelligent people with worse ability to know the broader meaning of what they're doing, a skill that tends to curtail questionable statistical practices.

Yes, I know it sounds insulting, but what really turned me off from taking more biology in high school and college, and from med school, is that it's so much more memorization-oriented rather than generative-model oriented. This suspicion is confirmed when I hear about e.g. ecologists just now getting around to using the method of adjacency matrix eigenvectors (i.e., Google's PageRank) to identify key organisms in ecosystems.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 30 March 2010 10:05:17PM *  4 points [-]

Here's an alternate insulting explanation, based on many (but not all) of the doctors I've met:

Doctors are bad at being unsure of themselves.