gwern comments on Even if you have a nail, not all hammers are the same - Less Wrong

95 Post author: PhilGoetz 29 March 2010 06:09PM

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Comment author: PhilGoetz 31 March 2010 02:52:23AM *  5 points [-]

You won't hear that phrase, but I mean the theoretical study of air traffic. For instance, I studied "free flight", which is when airplanes can fly directly from their takeoff airport to their landing airport and manage their own collision-avoidance, and showed that in certain free-flight situations you can increase the throughput of the airspace by reducing the information that you give to pilots.

It's an interesting general phenomenon: They try to optimize their route using all of their information. So the more information they have, the more unpredictable their behavior is. More information can actually cause more trouble than it solves in some cases, at least when it's information about what other agents are doing.

I had a contract from NASA to look for chaotic behavior in en-route air traffic, but my conclusion was that it is unlikely and nothing need be done to avoid it at present.

Comment author: gwern 03 April 2010 01:18:28AM 1 point [-]

showed that in certain free-flight situations you can increase the throughput of the airspace by reducing the information that you give to pilots.

Reminds me of Braess's paradox; a route people don't know about is similar to one that doesn't exist.