RobinZ comments on Open Thread: April 2010 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Unnamed 01 April 2010 03:21PM

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Comment author: RobinZ 02 April 2010 02:19:22PM 0 points [-]

I thought Robin meant: Let the Less Wrong community sort through the information and see if there is a consensus arises on one side or the other.

Oddly, no - although I think that would be a good exercise to carry out at intervals, I was imagining the theoretical solo game that each commenter played before bringing evidence to the community. Which has the difficulties that komponisto mentioned, of there not being prominent pro- and con- communities available, among other things.

Comment author: Jack 02 April 2010 03:16:27PM *  1 point [-]

I'm thinking:

  1. Define the claim/s precisely.
  2. Come up with a short list of pro and con sources
  3. Individual stage: anyone who wants to participate goes through the sources and does some addition research as they feel necessary.
  4. Each individual posts their own probability estimates for the claims.
  5. Communal stage: Disagreements are ironed out, sources shared, arguing and beliefs revised.
  6. Reflection: What, if anything, have we agreed on. It would be a lot harder than the Knox case but it is probably doable.
Comment author: RobinZ 02 April 2010 03:54:35PM 0 points [-]

Yes, that's it. I don't think enough time has passed to get around to another such exercise, however.

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