Gavin comments on Open Thread: April 2010 - Less Wrong
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The real problem with anthropic reasoning is that it's just a default starting point. We are tricked because it seems very powerful in contrived thought experiments in which no other evidence is available.
In the real world, in which there is a wealth of evidence available, it's just a reality check saying "most things don't last forever."
In real world situations, it's also very easy to get into a game of reference class tennis.