Gavin comments on Open Thread: April 2010 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Unnamed 01 April 2010 03:21PM

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Comment author: Gavin 03 April 2010 05:39:17PM 0 points [-]

The real problem with anthropic reasoning is that it's just a default starting point. We are tricked because it seems very powerful in contrived thought experiments in which no other evidence is available.

In the real world, in which there is a wealth of evidence available, it's just a reality check saying "most things don't last forever."

In real world situations, it's also very easy to get into a game of reference class tennis.