You'd think that if he had some method that at least happened to get lucky once in a while, he'd find a way to say "Hey, look at this success I can show!" or something.

Allow me to make a prediction: There will be conflict in the Middle East. ;)

(And I'm not exactly going out on a limb here. I don't even have to say when; there's been conflict there for roughly the past four thousand years, and I don't think anything's going to change that for as long as people still live there.)