Rain comments on Open Thread: April 2010 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Unnamed 01 April 2010 03:21PM

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Comment author: Amanojack 05 April 2010 10:50:20PM 1 point [-]

I've become a connoisseur of hard paradoxes and riddles, because I've found that resolving them always teaches me something new about rationalism. Here's the toughest beast I've yet encountered, not as an exercise for solving but as an illustration of just how much brutal trickiness can be hidden in a simple-looking situation, especially when semantics, human knowledge, and time structure are at play (which happens to be the case with many common LW discussions).

A teacher announces that there will be a surprise test next week. A student objects that this is impossible: "The class meets on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. If the test is given on Friday, then on Thursday I would be able to predict that the test is on Friday. It would not be a surprise. Can the test be given on Wednesday? No, because on Tuesday I would know that the test will not be on Friday (thanks to the previous reasoning) and know that the test was not on Monday (thanks to memory). Therefore, on Tuesday I could foresee that the test will be on Wednesday. A test on Wednesday would not be a surprise. Could the surprise test be on Monday? On Sunday, the previous two eliminations would be available to me. Consequently, I would know that the test must be on Monday. So a Monday test would also fail to be a surprise. Therefore, it is impossible for there to be a surprise test.”

Can the teacher fulfill his announcement?

Extensive treatment and relation to other epistemic paradoxes here.

Comment author: Rain 08 April 2010 04:18:15PM 1 point [-]

Why not give a test on Monday, and then give another test later that day? I bet they would be surprised by a second test on the same day.

Comment author: Amanojack 08 April 2010 05:24:00PM 0 points [-]

True, there's nothing saying there won't be two tests.

Rather than solve this, I was hoping people'd take a look at the linked explanation. When phrased more carefully, it becomes a whole bunch of nested paradoxes, the resolution of which contains valuable lessons on how words can trick people. It covers some LW material along the way, such as Moore's Paradox.

Comment author: Rain 08 April 2010 07:48:28PM 1 point [-]

But if there's a solution, it's not really a paradox.

And I don't like word arguments.

Comment author: Sniffnoy 08 April 2010 08:21:58PM 3 points [-]

Ugh, yes. Why are we speaking of "paradoxes" at all? Anything that actually occurs is not a paradox. If something appears to be a paradox, either you have reasoned incorrectly, you've made untenable assumptions, or you've just been using fuzzy thinking. This is a problem; presumably it has some solution. Describing it as a "paradox" and asking people not to solve it is not helpful. You don't understand it better that way, you understand it by solving it. The only thing gained that way is an understanding of why it appears to be a paradox, which is useful as a demonstration of the dangers of fuzzy thinking, but also kind of obvious.

Maybe I'm being overly strict about the word "paradox" here, but I really just don't see the term as at all helpful. If you're using it in the strict sense, they shouldn't occur except as an indicator that you've done something wrong (in which case you probably wouldn't use the word "paradox" to describe it in the first place). If you're using it in the loose sense, it's misleading and unhelpful (I prefer to explcitly say "apparent paradox".)

Comment author: Amanojack 08 April 2010 09:03:17PM 0 points [-]

We're all saying the exact same thing here: words are not to be treated as infallible vehicles for communicating concepts. That was the point of my original post, the point of Rain's reply, and yours as well. (You're completely right about the word "paradox.")

Also, I'm not saying not to try solving it, just that I've no intention of refuting all proposed solutions. I didn't want my reply to be construed as a debate about the solution, because that would never end.

Comment author: Amanojack 08 April 2010 08:28:15PM *  0 points [-]

Words frequently confuse people into believing something they wouldn't otherwise. You may be correct that this confusion can always be addressed indirectly, but in any case it needs to be addressed. Addressing semantic confusion requires identifying it, and I found this riddle (actually the whole article) a great neutral exercise for that purpose.

EDIT: Looking back, I should probably just have posted riddle and kept quiet. Updated for next time.