Wei_Dai comments on Late Great Filter Is Not Bad News - Less Wrong

14 Post author: Wei_Dai 04 April 2010 04:17AM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 04 April 2010 07:07:34AM 1 point [-]

The Universe, including "choices", is deterministic, but we do not call something a "choice" when the outcome is known with complete certainty ahead of time.

I'm not sure how this relates to the main points of my post. Did you intend for it to be related (in which case please explain how), or is it more of a tangent?

Doesn't this contradict the title of the post? If I understand correctly, you're saying, in agreement with Robin, that we should put work into preventing late filters. But anything that you want to put work into preventing is, ipso facto, bad news.

What I meant by the title is that the Great Filter being late is not bad news (compared to it being early). Perhaps I should change the title to make that clearer?

Comment author: alyssavance 04 April 2010 04:25:12PM 0 points [-]

"I'm not sure how this relates to the main points of my post. Did you intend for it to be related (in which case please explain how), or is it more of a tangent?"

You said: "It seems to me that this decision problem is structurally no different from the one faced by the future you in the previous thought experiment, and the correct decision is still to choose the late filter (i.e., press the button)."

This isn't a decision problem because the outcome is already known ahead of time (you will press the button).

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