cupholder comments on Late Great Filter Is Not Bad News - Less Wrong

14 Post author: Wei_Dai 04 April 2010 04:17AM

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Comment author: prase 05 April 2010 08:43:23AM *  1 point [-]

This is the point at which believing in many worlds and caring about other branches leads to very suspicious way to perceive reality. I know, absurdity heuristic isn't that much reliable, but still - would it make you really sad or angry or desperate if you realised that you have won a billion (in any currency) under described circumstances? Would you really celebrate if you realised that the great filter, which wipes out a species 90% of the time, and which you previously believed we have already passed, is going to happen in the next 50 years?

I am ready to change my opinion about this style of reasoning, but probably I need some more powerful intuition pump.

Comment author: cupholder 05 April 2010 02:24:08PM 2 points [-]

I am ready to change my opinion about this style of reasoning, but probably I need some more powerful intuition pump.

I don't know if this is exactly the kind of thing you're looking for, but you might like this paper arguing for why many-worlds doesn't imply quantum immortality and like-minded conclusions based on jumping between branches. (I saw someone cite this a few days ago somewhere on Less Wrong, and I'd give them props here, but can't remember who they were!)

Comment author: Cyan 05 April 2010 05:31:53PM *  2 points [-]

It was Mallah, probably.

Comment author: cupholder 05 April 2010 06:59:56PM 1 point [-]

You're probably right - going through Mallah's comment history, I think it might have been this post of his that turned me on to his paper. Thanks Mallah!