thomblake comments on The Cameron Todd Willingham test - Less Wrong
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Sure, but at least each side can draw its theorized causal diagram, how the evidence fits in, how the likelihood ratios interplay (per Pearl's method of separating inferential and causal evidence flows), and what probability that justifies. It would still lend a clarity of thought not currently present among the mouthbreathers on juries that haven't been exposed to any of this, even if you had to train them in it first.
(And that would be easy if the trainers really understood [at Level 2 at least] causal diagrams and read my forthcoming article on guidelines for explaining...)
Please make this come forth promptly. I plan to explain some pretty complicated stuff to a bunch of people soon, and could use the help!
I'll do my best.