thomblake comments on The Cameron Todd Willingham test - Less Wrong

3 Post author: Kevin 05 May 2010 12:11AM

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Comment author: SilasBarta 06 May 2010 10:16:56PM *  1 point [-]

Sure, but at least each side can draw its theorized causal diagram, how the evidence fits in, how the likelihood ratios interplay (per Pearl's method of separating inferential and causal evidence flows), and what probability that justifies. It would still lend a clarity of thought not currently present among the mouthbreathers on juries that haven't been exposed to any of this, even if you had to train them in it first.

(And that would be easy if the trainers really understood [at Level 2 at least] causal diagrams and read my forthcoming article on guidelines for explaining...)

Comment author: thomblake 06 May 2010 10:41:46PM 1 point [-]

read my forthcoming article on guidelines for explaining

Please make this come forth promptly. I plan to explain some pretty complicated stuff to a bunch of people soon, and could use the help!

Comment author: SilasBarta 06 May 2010 10:42:51PM 1 point [-]

I'll do my best.