PhilGoetz comments on Self-indication assumption is wrong for interesting reasons - Less Wrong

6 Post author: neq1 16 April 2010 04:51AM

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Comment author: PhilGoetz 07 May 2010 07:44:52PM *  1 point [-]

Sorry, I disagree. If you repeated the coin-flip 200 times, there would be (on average) 9900 people in blue rooms, and 100 people in red rooms. You know only that you are one of these 10000 people. The odds are 99% you are one of those behind a blue door.