Matt_Simpson comments on VNM expected utility theory: uses, abuses, and interpretation - Less Wrong

21 Post author: Academian 17 April 2010 08:23PM

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Comment author: Matt_Simpson 19 April 2010 02:02:10AM *  0 points [-]

Secondary preferences may as well not exist. The only time they have an effect on behavior is in the case of two or more possible optimal actions with identical expected utilities in terms of the primary good. How likely is that?

ETA: Douglas Knight said it first.

Comment author: Academian 19 April 2010 06:14:25AM *  0 points [-]

Yes (see above). It seems well agreed upon; I think I'll ETA a note about this to the post proper.

ETA: "noise" in your expected utility calculations might constitute positive-likelihood occasions to treat two expectations as equal...