Jack comments on Rationality quotes: May 2010 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: ata 01 May 2010 05:48AM

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Comment author: Jack 01 May 2010 08:29:25PM *  1 point [-]

Munich is notorious in this respect. But this instance does not prove the rule.

Edit: In fact, it's pretty clear that if there are lessons from history we shouldn't assume we know them until after we see the pattern. And one event does not make a pattern. Appeasement has worked really well in lots of times and places.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 02 May 2010 03:07:22AM 4 points [-]

There's a sample bias - People are likely to try appeasement when they are powerless, which makes appeasement unlikely to work.

Comment author: Jack 02 May 2010 03:40:23AM 4 points [-]

It's also the kind of thing that gets forgotten when it works but remembered forever when it fails. See Appeasement in international politics.